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Autor	Artur Wilczyński
Tytuł	Makroekonomiczne uwarunkowania produkcji mleka w Unii Europejskiej do 2020 roku
Title	Macro-economic trends in EU dairy sector until 2020
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Abstract	The dairy market In the EU is regulated by the Common Market Organization for milk and milk products. This policy is influencing together with changes in the Common Agricultural Policy. Within the Health Check the European Commission proposed a milk quota abolition, which will come into force from the year 2015. This paper presents a scenario analysis of milk quota abolition and the influence on production, price and demand on farm gate milk, butter and skimmed milk powder. Analysis was divided on two groups EU-15 and ten countries whose accession to EU in the year 2004. Special case was made for Germany, France, Great Britain and Poland as the largest milk producers in the EU. Conclusions fl owing from analysis show decline of real milk farm gate price to the year 2020, about 20% in the comparison with the average from the period 2003–2005. The supply of milk will increase with simultaneous decline of butter production and skimmed milk powder. Unfortunately the majority of unfavorable changes will in the group of countries UE-10
Cytowanie	Wilczyński A. (2010) Makroekonomiczne uwarunkowania produkcji mleka w Unii Europejskiej do 2020 roku.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW - Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, nr 84: 77-85
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Pełny tekst	EIOGZ_2010_n84_s77.pdf

Autor	Stanisław Stańko
Tytuł	Zewnętrzne uwarunkowania rozwoju rolnictwa
Title	External conditions of development of Polish agriculture
Słowa kluczowe	makroekonomiczne uwarunkowania, handel zagraniczny, ceny, inflacja
Key words	macroeconomic determinants, foreign trade, prices, inflation
Abstrakt	W opracowaniu przedstawiono zewnętrzne uwarunkowania rozwoju rolnictwa. Obejmują one czynniki demograficzne, handel zagraniczny artykułami rolno- żywnościowymi, inflację, stopę wzrostu gospodarczego, kurs walutowy zł do euro.
Abstract	The article presents impact of macroeconomic variables (rate of economic growth, exchange rate, rate of inflation, integration) on the agriculture. Since the first year after the Polish UE accession foreign trade agri-food turnover has been growing. EU Member States have become main partners in exchange of many products. Raw agricultural products prices within the common market have become more equalized. Exchange rates are the most important variable influencing the performance of the agricultural sector. Economic growth and inflation have weak influence on the agricultural market.
Cytowanie	Stańko S. (2008) Zewnętrzne uwarunkowania rozwoju rolnictwa .Roczniki Nauk Rolniczych, Seria G, t. 94, z. 2: 65-79
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Pełny tekst	RNR_2008_n2_s65.pdf

Autor	Andrzej Czyżewski
Tytuł	Makroekonomiczne uwarunkowania wsparcia sektora rolnego w Polsce i Unii Europejskiej
Title	Macroeconomic determinants of support for agriculture in Poland and the European Union
Słowa kluczowe	polityka rolna, makroekonomiczne determinanty
Key words	agriculture policy, macroeconomic determinants
Abstrakt	Omawiane są makroekonomiczne determinanty polityki rolnej w Polsce i jej ewolucja. Przytoczone jest także jej porównanie z analogiczną polityką Unii Europejskiej. Oceny dokonywane są przy użyciu wskaźników stosowanych przez OECD
Abstract	The article presents some considerations about the support for agriculture in the UE-15 and Poland and the role of its macroeconomic conditions. Stimuli applied by fiscal policy are of the great importance for creating a target model for transformation. The article consists of two parts. In the first part the most important indicators according to OECD’s methodology, through prism of a created agricultural model are analyzed. A selection of macroeconomic determinants and assumptions of a pendulum model are presented. In the second part the transition of macroeconomic determinants and the evaluation of economic policy of support for agriculture in selected countries are described. The level and divergence of support is being observed. Some changes in the structure of support are3 noticed. At last the transition in macroeconomic conditions is characterized. From 1990 to 2005 a domination of stabilization option in the economic policy, slowing down of economic growth and raising unemployment rate prevailed. In the EU the economic policy managed to isolate the support for agriculture from the macroeconomic conditions, especially from the budget deficit, the interest rate and the unemployment rate but in Poland it did not
Cytowanie	Czyżewski A. (2007) Makroekonomiczne uwarunkowania wsparcia sektora rolnego w Polsce i Unii Europejskiej.Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie - Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, t. 2(17), z. 2: 46-56
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Pełny tekst	PRS_2007_T2(17)_n2_s46.pdf